Bank of America forecasts copper price above $10,000, iron ore price below $80 by 2025

Analysts at Bank of America (BofA) are projecting copper price to rise above $10,000 per tonne by 2025, while predicting iron ore prices to fall below $80 per tonne the same year.

For copper, Bank of America analysts maintain a positive outlook, expecting prices to stay elevated with potential Fed rate cuts.

The copper price remains strong due to high demand, constrained supply and increased investment in energy transition projects, BofA said.

“Manufacturing activity should stabilize as the Fed cuts rates, so we maintain our constructive copper view into 2025,” the analysts said.

Copper prices have risen 6% year-to-date in 2024, driven by tight mine supply and challenges in refining.

Additionally, spending on energy infrastructure—especially grid expansion tied to decarbonization—has boosted demand. In China, grid investments have offset weaker demand from the housing sector, further supporting copper.

Iron ore outlook

In contrast, iron ore faces challenges from declining demand, especially in China’s property sector, where consumption dropped from 50% in 2010 to 20% in 2024 due to a government crackdown on speculative investments and a slowdown in housing construction.

Steel production has also declined, and although sectors like machinery have helped, it’s not enough to counter the construction downturn, according to BofA.