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Overview of the Chinese aluminium market in Oct '23: Demand deficit took a toll on metal prices and companies' earnings

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Update time : 2023-11-03 18:59:27
In October 2023, China encountered an assorted journey in terms of price movement across the aluminium value chain. Being obligated to the unenthusiastic demand among downstream sector, China’s domestic primary aluminium ingot price continued to fall in the said month. On the other hand, the domestic alumina price took a sharp turn towards the rising trend, and the imported bauxite price started building up in the early days of October due to growing reliance on the overseas mineral.

China’s domestic A00 aluminium ingot price experienced a decline of RMB 510 per tonne or 2.60 per cent through the month of October to settle at RMB 19,080 per tonne, found the Shanghai Metals Market survey. The fall occurred primarily in the early days of October, bringing the primary aluminium ingot price below RMB 19,000 per tonne level, attributing to slow consumption in the downstream sector as China’s domestic construction sector was yet to revive. Besides, geopolitical conflicts drove import volume to increase, weighing on domestic prices.

The average domestic alumina price, on the other hand, recorded a sharp rise through the month, exceeding RMB 3,000 per tonne. Gaining RMB 48 per tonne through October, the alumina price closed the month at RMB 3,009 per tonne, according to SMM. The reduced dependence on imported alumina is one of the reasons behind its price hike. Meanwhile, the export volume grew significantly amid geopolitical conflicts causing a tight supply in the domestic market.

The imported bauxite price also built up till October 13 to US$69.6 per tonne from US$68.37 per tonne. It has been found that China’s reliance on imported bauxite is now close to 70 per cent, as the country is having less bauxite reserves with low grade minerals. However, towards the latter phase of October, China’s imported bauxite price started declining to close the month at US$69.72 per tonne.

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