Industry News

Supporting the private economy: The tug-of-war between sellers and buyers continues amid a volatile pattern

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Update time : 2025-02-19 20:55:51
Futures market: Yesterday, the most-traded SHFE aluminium 2504 contract opened at RMB 20,645 per tonne, reached a high of RMB 20,690 per tonne, a low of RMB 20,585 per tonne, and closed at RMB 20,660 per tonne, down RMB 50 per tonne from the previous day, with a 0.24 per cent increase. Yesterday, LME aluminium opened at USD 2,635 per tonne, hit a high of USD 2,651 per tonne, a low of USD 2,613 per tonne, and closed at USD 2,646.5 per tonne, up USD 9 per tonne, with a 0.34 per cent increase.
Macro: (1) US Fed - Harker: The current economic situation supports temporarily maintaining stable interest rate policies; Bowman: Before another interest rate cut, stronger confidence in inflation decline is needed. Inflation is expected to decline, but upside risks remain. (Bearish ★)

(2) Jinping Xi: The development prospects of the private economy are broad and promising, and it is the right time for private enterprises and entrepreneurs to showcase their capabilities. (Bullish ★★)

(3) The 14th Session of the Standing Committee of the 14th National People's Congress will be held in Beijing from February 24 to 25 to review the draft law on promoting the private economy and the draft amendment to the Civil Aviation Law submitted by the State Council. (Bullish ★) 

Fundamentals: (1) According to SMM statistics, aluminium ingot outflows from warehouses totaled 100,500 tonnes during 2.11-2.16, an increase of 30,000 tonnes compared to the Chinese New Year holiday period. Aluminium billet outflows from warehouses totalled 44,200 tonnes during 2.11-2.16, an increase of 27,100 tonnes compared to the Chinese New Year holiday period. (Bullish ★)

(2) On February 17, domestic mainstream consumption area aluminium ingot inventory stood at 818,000 tonnes, up 55,000 tonnes from last Thursday. (Bearish ★)

(3) Domestic mainstream consumption area aluminium billet inventory reached 307,000 tonnes, up 6,600 tonnes from last Thursday. (Bearish ★)

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