Industry News

Q2 alumina prices likely to walk a rocky road with market turbulence and supply surge on the rise

Views : 388
Update time : 2025-04-23 15:33:04
The global alumina market has endured a dramatic roller‑coaster in early 2025, witnessing a severe price slump in the first quarter and a raft of fresh supply hitting the market in the recent weeks. While analysts now eye a price floor in coming months, forecast revisions evidently highlights the fragility of near-term price momentum.

As of April 16, the benchmark price for Australian alumina stood at USD 347.50 per tonne on a FOB (Free on Board) basis — the price that covers the cost of transporting the goods to the port and loading them onto the ship, with the buyer covering the cost from that point onwards. This price point represents nearly a 50 per cent drop from where it stood at the beginning of January.

In comparison, Brazilian alumina exports are currently trading at a consistent premium over the Australian benchmark. The ‘FOB Brazil Atlantic Differential (AD)’ is a measure of how much more Brazilian alumina is fetching in the market relative to the Australian benchmark. As of the same date, this differential stood at a USD 20 per tonne premium. In other words, buyers are paying USD 367.50 per tonne for Brazilian alumina versus USD 347.50 per tonne for Australian alumina.

What’s noteworthy is that this USD 20 per tonne premium has remained stable throughout the first quarter (Q1) of the year.

Simultaneously, China’s domestic ex‑works Shanxi price slid to RMB 2,850 per tonne, reflecting widespread bearish sentiment.

Related News
Read More >>
Nickel prices on Feb 20 rise on a weaker US dollar as hawkish Fed & Middle East tensions limit gains Nickel prices on Feb 20 rise on a weaker US dollar as hawkish Fed & Middle East tensions limit gains
Feb .24.2026
Nickel prices on Feb 20 rise on a weaker US dollar as hawkish Fed & Middle East tensions limit gains
Argentina terminates AD duties on China’s aluminum sheets Argentina terminates AD duties on China’s aluminum sheets
Feb .24.2026
Argentina terminates AD duties on China’s aluminum sheets
Nippon Steel raises prices for 300 series stainless steel dramatically Nippon Steel raises prices for 300 series stainless steel dramatically
Feb .24.2026
Nippon Steel raises prices for 300 series stainless steel dramatically
Indonesia and the Philippines' nickel industry alliance impacts stainless steel industry chain Indonesia and the Philippines' nickel industry alliance impacts stainless steel industry chain
Feb .24.2026
Indonesia and the Philippines' nickel industry alliance impacts stainless steel industry chain