Industry News

Q2 alumina prices likely to walk a rocky road with market turbulence and supply surge on the rise

Views : 225
Update time : 2025-04-23 15:33:04
The global alumina market has endured a dramatic roller‑coaster in early 2025, witnessing a severe price slump in the first quarter and a raft of fresh supply hitting the market in the recent weeks. While analysts now eye a price floor in coming months, forecast revisions evidently highlights the fragility of near-term price momentum.

As of April 16, the benchmark price for Australian alumina stood at USD 347.50 per tonne on a FOB (Free on Board) basis — the price that covers the cost of transporting the goods to the port and loading them onto the ship, with the buyer covering the cost from that point onwards. This price point represents nearly a 50 per cent drop from where it stood at the beginning of January.

In comparison, Brazilian alumina exports are currently trading at a consistent premium over the Australian benchmark. The ‘FOB Brazil Atlantic Differential (AD)’ is a measure of how much more Brazilian alumina is fetching in the market relative to the Australian benchmark. As of the same date, this differential stood at a USD 20 per tonne premium. In other words, buyers are paying USD 367.50 per tonne for Brazilian alumina versus USD 347.50 per tonne for Australian alumina.

What’s noteworthy is that this USD 20 per tonne premium has remained stable throughout the first quarter (Q1) of the year.

Simultaneously, China’s domestic ex‑works Shanxi price slid to RMB 2,850 per tonne, reflecting widespread bearish sentiment.

Related News
Read More >>
India’s stainless steel industry calls for greater government support India’s stainless steel industry calls for greater government support
Nov .05.2025
India’s stainless steel industry calls for greater government support
HRC prices remain firm in European market HRC prices remain firm in European market
Nov .05.2025
HRC prices remain firm in European market
Acerinox's melting shop production increases by 8% in Q1-Q3, 2025 Acerinox's melting shop production increases by 8% in Q1-Q3, 2025
Nov .05.2025
Acerinox's melting shop production increases by 8% in Q1-Q3, 2025
North American Stainless improves production with KOCKS RSB® 370++/6 North American Stainless improves production with KOCKS RSB® 370++/6
Nov .05.2025
North American Stainless improves production with KOCKS RSB® 370++/6