Economists warn that the true sting lies in the unpredictability of the regime, deterring investment and complicating procurement strategies. Despite Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent branding the levels ‘unsustainable’ and market whispers of possible rollback talk, contractors remain on tenterhooks over erratic price swings that threaten project timelines and margins.
A sudden tariff tsunami
In February 2025, the administration imposed a 10 per cent blanket levy on all imports (excluding Canada and Mexico), immediately followed by targeted hikes under Section 232 that raised aluminium duties from 10 per cent to 25 per cent and reinforced 25 per cent steel tariffs. China struck back, triggering reciprocal measures, and by early April, Chinese-sourced construction metals faced a punitive 54 per cent duty — only to see US rates climb further to 145 per cent in a matter of weeks. The upshot is that the essential construction inputs from structural beams to finished fasteners now carry a hefty surcharge, which procurement teams had little time to budget for.
Metal prices have roared back to the forefront of contractors’ risk registers, wherein April’s MetalMiner index broke out of a six-month lull, with a signal to the renewed volatility for H-beam steel and rebar purchasers. Simultaneously, the US Producer Price Index flagged a sharp rise in industrial metals costs after just one month of tariff implementation. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book underscores these trends, noting that builders from California to New York are reporting material price uncertainty and margin squeeze.